This reflects several new challenges, including high international food and fuel prices, financial shocks owing to the stronger-than-anticipated tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies and acute risks of food insecurity in many parts of the region. Six African Countries in Debt Distress, 15 Warming Up, Debt Distress Rising in Sub-Saharan Africa, says Fitch, Analysis: MTN Nigeria Share Price Spikes 17% Above Retail Offer, Juju Maestro, King Sunny Ade Set To Honour Primate Ayodele On February 14, Money Laundering, Thousands of US, Dollars Move Through GTBANK By Ex-Lagos Attorney-General: EFCC, Naira Notes Redesign ll Bring 2tn Into Economy: NACCIMA President, Edmark In Crisis As Court Bars Company From Selling Products In Nigeria, Who Is Primate Ayodele Elijah Babatunde- By Favour Benson. 40 Percent Of African Countries Are In A Debt Crisis, IMF Warns - Moguldom We believe information is a powerful driver for the new tomorrow. Debt crisis: African countries should trade more with each other According to a recent IMF assessment, it stresses an extremely risky nature of Djibouti's borrowing program. Others at high risk include Malawi, Zambia and Comoros. African countries, including Nigeria, benefited from the gesture to avert the risk of over bloating debts. In West Africa, growth in Benin (B+/Stable) and Cote dIvoire (BB-/Stable) will remain strong and debt is below the regional median. In Sub-Saharan Africa, Ghana appears to be the worst with steep debt to gross domestic product ratio, which thus forced international debt capital to be closed against further raise in 2021. PDF List of LIC DSAs for PRGT-Eligible Countries as of September 30, 2022 Africas economic activity is expected to expand by a moderate 2.7 per cent in 2022 and 2.4 per cent in 2023, according to the UNCTAD report. Fitch thinks that decision to seek debt restructuring under the IMF framework announced last November by the G20 and the Paris Club is unlikely to be compatible with a rating higher than CCC. In 2021, not less than six African countries including Congo Brazzaville, Mozambique, So Tom and Prncipe, Somalia, Sudan and Zimbabwe are already in debt distress, according to data from the International Monetary Fund. You can further help us by making a donation. In spite of high, and significant resource deposits, African countries continue to struggling with development and capital projects record still unimpressive. African countries must be transparent and accountable in managing https://www.dmarketforces.com, Copyright 2018. Aug 15, 2020 10 min read The Future of Rare Earth Elements in Africa in the Midst of a Debt Crisis By Gustavo Ferreira, Jamie Critelli, and Wayne Johnson Introduction The recent escalation in diplomatic and economic tensions between the United States and China has highlighted the U.S.'s heavy reliance on China as a source of rare earth minerals. B L Premium. In east Africa, the negative outlooks on ratings for Kenya, Rwanda and Uganda (all B+) reflects concerns about the ability to halt the rise in government debt. The challenges of sovereign debt management and restructuring in the region; The implications of the lack of transparency on the accumulation and use of sovereign debt; Options for incorporating human rights and social considerations into sovereign debt renegotiations and restructuring. Others at high risk include Malawi, Zambia and Comoros. They now owe more money to a broader range of creditors. Leading central banks are raising interest rates sharply, threatening to cut off growth altogether and making sustenance harder for heavily indebted firms, households and governments. This should include any arrangements for enhancing the security of the loan. Agusto forecasts 13% NPL, says Banks exposures to vulnerable industries threaten Growth-starved Nigerias Economy Expends 83% of Revenue to Service Debts, Sell-offs in blue chips knock off 104.2 billion in stock market. MarketForces Africa spotted that these countries are rated mostly CCC by international rating agencies. ADVERTISEMENT The Fund however did not mention the names of the 16 countries. At present we do not expect any of these four sovereigns to seek CF treatment. GDP contracted sharply in 2020, by 5.6% due to the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) oil production cuts, pandemic containment measures and tight domestic liquidity related to the fall in oil revenues. Zambia is also in debt distress after a sovereign default in 2020. Mozambique (CCC) could be boosted in the medium term by large natural gas projects, but insurgency and governance challenges pose risks. Working Paper 367 - Debt Distress and Recovery Episodes in Africa: Good Congo: Fitch said the CCC rating reflects unsustainably high government debt, scarce financing options, severe liquidity pressures, weak governance indicators and high oil dependence. Based on the recent data, Trading economics reported that the nations debt position as a proportion of its economic size has increased to 122%. China, meanwhile, owns the lion's share, which has placed the country at high risk of debt distress. The 10 other countries are Benin, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. Thus, they also focus on the broader domestic and international factors that are shaping debt management in the region. The Ratings however added that Pakistan with B-/Stable ratings, Mongolia B/Stable and Nigeria B/Stable are also eligible for CF treatment, but the IMF assesses them under a different DSA methodology, which uses less delineated classifications. World Bank: Eight African countries in debt distress 14 at high risk Zambia is also in debt distress after a sovereign default in 2020. Ethiopia "risks being the third" country to default in 2021 after Belize and Suriname. A comprehensive approach. According to the Africa Report, only 3 of the countries in Africa with the highest likelihood of sovereign debt distress and default elected to have their debt restructured. This means that African governments are struggling to pay the debts that they incurred on behalf of their states. The average ratio of debt to gross domestic product across Africa is expected to increase from 60% in 2019 to 70%, according to AfDB, and that number could go higher still. Many African countries raised their debt profiles due to the outbreak of covid-19 in 2020 amidst low economic performances. The recommendation is that countries in the region should adopt comprehensive debt data disclosure requirements and state borrowing procedures that are transparent and participatory. The COVID pandemic has had a profoundly negative impact on Africa's sovereign debt situation. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), 20 low-income African countries were in financial distress in the second half of 2021, due largely to their debts to China. Copyright 20102022, The Conversation Media Group Ltd, DOVE (Debts of Vulnerable Economies) Fund, Human Resource Management Open Rank (Tenure-Track), Senior Research Fellow, Environmental Biogeochemistry. Others at high risk include Malawi, Zambia and Comoros. Ghana sovereign debt crisis tip of African countries loan mess This situation is likely to be exacerbated by the war between Russia and Ukraine. But in 2022, it is expected to grow 2.9 per cent as a result of weak oil output caused by technical and security hurdles in a context of underinvestment, the report found. Cameroon (B/Stable) has handled the pandemic notably well, with barely a change in government debt. New global resurgence in COVID-19 infections heightens the risk of fiscal pressures. In 2020, sub-Saharan Africa had a total external debt stock of US$702.4 billion, compared to US$380.9 billion in 2012. Gambia among 20 Sub-Saharan African countries in high risk of debt distress Together we build journalism that is independent, credible and fearless. The Covid-19 pandemic has had a profoundly negative impact on Africa's sovereign debt situation. Nigeria's Private Sector Expands to 2-Year High - PMI The final month of 2021 revealed a robust expansion in Nigeria's private sector with the purchasing manager index (PMI) improving to a 24-month highRead more Six African Countries in Debt Distress, 15 Warming Up Others are Kenya, Laos, Maldives and Zambia. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, December 10, 2020 - African countries must be more transparent and accountable when managing sovereign debt amid rising concerns of impending debt distress engulfing the continent. A private-sector restructuring under the CF is likely to qualify under these criteria, the Ratings agency noted. The most recent summary of Nigeria's external debt stock published by the Debt Management Office shows that at the end of March 2019, Nigeria owed China about $2.6 billion. The amount owed to official creditors, including multilateral lenders, governments and government agencies, increased from about $119 billion to $258 billion. Mozambique government debt rose to 121% of GDP, according to Fitch Ratings, reflecting largely the impact of the 18% metical depreciation 83% of debt is foreign currency-denominated. However, the Ratings held that the common framework, unlike the DSSI, requires debtor countries to seek treatment from private-sector creditors at least as favourable as that agreed with G20/Paris Club official bilateral creditors. Debt is a contractual relationship. In addition, contracts should provide the parties with clear answers to issues that could arise between them. 19 Sub-Saharan African countries in debt distress or high risk of It explained that this sovereign ratings apply to borrowing from the private sector. Contributors make five key recommendations: The first concerns debt transparency. Currently, 22 countries are either in debt distress or at high risk of debt distress. The Africa Report on Twitter: "RT @TheAfricaReport: A recent study At least 15 more countries which include Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana and Kenya are running a high risk of debt distress, according to the report. However, recent upgrades of Benin, Cote dIvoire, Gabon and Seychelles show that for some countries the impact of the pandemic has been less severe than expected. Most African policymakers have struggled to keep their debt sustainable and their fiscal heads above water in 2022. GDP contracted sharply in 2020, by 5.6% due to the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) oil production cuts, pandemic containment measures and tight domestic liquidity related to the fall in oil revenues. As of February 2022,23 African countries were either in debt distress or at risk of it. Congos financing options remain constrained, as it has fully used its access to financing from the regional central bank, and the regional market remains shallow. https://www.dmarketforces.com, Copyright 2018. Five recommendations emerge from the contribution. Reports say about 20 African countries risk debt default as global inflation and financial shocks reverberate. We hope the book will stimulate debate among academics, activists, policymakers and practitioners on how Southern Africa Development Community should manage its debt. 19 Sub-Saharan African countries in debt distress or high risk of Sovereign debtors should follow well publicised, predictable and binding legal procedures in incurring new financial obligations. The participants sought to understand the debt challenges facing countries in the Southern Africa Development Community. These places have record levels of private as well as public debt, according to the reportby the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). Read more>>Debt Distress Rising in Sub-Saharan Africa, says Fitch. But, those with a ratio of high debt-to-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are expected to be. Essentially, African countries are struggling to sustain their debt. Debt repayment costs are rising fast for many African countries The sovereign debtor and its creditors must therefore seek to effectively engage with each of these actors and with all of these issues. Includes DSAs presented to the Executive Board on lapse of time basis. African countries in high risk of debt distress were listed then as Burundi, Cabo Verde, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Comoros, Djibouti, Ethiopia, The Gambia, Ghana, Guinea Bissau, Kenya, Malawi, Sierra Leone, Zambia, Of the eight countries in debt distress globally, all but Grenada are from Africa. The report read in part, "According to the debt sustainability analysis, 11 ECOWAS countries - Benin, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Niger, Nigeria,. Read more>> Debt Distress Rising in Sub-Saharan Africa, says Fitch. One possible approach is the DOVE (Debts of Vulnerable Economies) Fund. They also offered policy-oriented recommendations for dealing with them. The outbreak of the pandemic in 2020 exposed African countries fiscal weaknesses and inability to curb exposures to global economic development as sovereigns. Climate shocks are heightening the risk of economic instability in indebted developing countries. Agusto forecasts 13% NPL, says Banks exposures to vulnerable industries threaten Growth-starved Nigerias Economy Expends 83% of Revenue to Service Debts, Sell-offs in blue chips knock off 104.2 billion in stock market. These places have record levels of private as well as public debt. 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